TX-10: Doherty Catching Up to McCaul in New Poll

Goodwin Simon Victoria Research for Larry Joe Doherty (9/28-30, likely voters, 5/27-31 in parens):

Larry Joe Doherty (D): 38 (34)

Mike McCaul (R-inc): 43 (43)

(MoE: ±4.9%)

Here’s a key finding that might help explain McCaul’s sagging numbers: his name recognition is only at 59%. That’s pretty bad for an incumbent running for his third term.

While this is an R+13 district, the numbers are trending in the Democratic direction (Gore won only 34% of the vote here, but Kerry kicked it up a notch to 38% in 2004). We wrote about this district as a possible pick-up opportunity way back in June 2007, so it’s nice to see Democrat Larry Joe Doherty making a race of this.

Full polling memo below the fold.